Spain vs Cape Verde

Reasoning

Historically, when Spain face significantly weaker opponents who park the bus, they score a notable percentage of their goals from outside the penalty area. Cape Verde lack the defensive quality and organisation to consistently close down Spain's creative players, meaning Spain will have time and space to line up shots from range. We expect Spain to win this match comfortably (likely by 2+ goals), and in such scenarios, at least one goal from outside the box is a common occurrence. Recommended Bet: A Goal to Be Scored from Outside the Penalty Area @ 2.20.