England vs Croatia

Reasoning

Harry Kane remains England's primary goal threat and focal point in attack. The text highlights England's attacking displays in warm-ups, including a 3-0 win over Costa Rica where they could easily have scored more. Kane thrives in these high-stakes tournament openers and has a proven record of delivering in important matches for England. England's overall dominance (especially in qualifying where they scored freely) and control in games give Kane multiple opportunities. Even in tighter matches, his positioning, finishing, and penalty-taking ability make him a constant danger. Croatia's defense is respectable but has shown vulnerabilities (conceding in recent games against strong sides like Belgium and Brazil late on). At 2.20, this is attractive odds for the tournament's top striker on a team expected to create the majority of chances in what could be a cagey but ultimately favorable matchup for England's forwards. Kane's scoring pedigree makes him highly likely to get on the scoresheet if England secures the win or even in a draw.